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geopolitical risk consulting

Geopolitical Intelligence Group (GIG) is a leading provider of intelligence services, offering strategic and operational insights into the complex geopolitical environment that affects businesses. As geopolitical events can influence market conditions in industrialized countries just as much as they can impact developing countries, assessing and understanding them through the conduct of an effective geopolitical risk assessment will help mitigate risk exposure. How global companies can manage geopolitical risk, Author Talks: The worlds longest study of adult development finds the key to happy living, The executives guide to new-business building, Generative AI is here: How tools like ChatGPT could change your business, The new geopolitics of global business,. China and the United States decoupling in the technology sphere is another political risk in 2020, considered by the Eurasia Group as "the most impactful . "Geopolitical risks affecting banks or banks' customers have expanded significantly in recent years," according to a global survey report issued late last year from consulting firm EY. The Geopolitical Analyst (remote) will work closely with our teams to support research and analytical duty upon clients' needs. Business strategy and operational efficiency require constant evaluation in a complex and often volatile environment. Resource shortages likely to disrupt critical supply chains in South Africa, US Weekly Economic Commentary: Stubborn inflation clouds the outlook, Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities down as energy crisis recedes, The global economy moves forward, averting recession, #China is set to cut its #crude throughputs in March from the recent highs in February as maintenance season starts https://t.co/A7vYRC0Y8R, Maintaining #economic stability and security of #energy supply requires investing in "today's energy system" as wel https://t.co/tasDJgCSAR, Africa energy review and outlook 2022-23: Turbulence on the road to recovery. Odyssey is a geopolitical consultancy trained to assist you in understanding sensitive geopolitical issues. No matter their starting point, BCG can help. The challenges that geopolitical risks create will get worse. For that reason, a company may need to issue guidance on a range of other topics, such as the appropriate way to discuss geopolitically sensitive topics in publications or speeches and how to depict contested borders on maps. Improve your understanding and modeling of country and economic risk across countries and sectors. Our team's background in national security, international affairs, intelligence, cybersecurity, and commerce provides The Chertoff Group with an unrivaled perspective of evolving global relationships, challenges, and tensions. Something went wrong. Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest, South China Morning Post, May 29, 2021, scmp.com. Cyber risks are believed to have the deepest impact on supply chains rated by 34% as a high impact and 54% as medium. Kroll was able to provide a report detailing the countrys foreign relations, its position as an economic and business center in the region, the local and regional attitudes towards foreign direct investment and the jurisdictions evolving tax laws for foreign firms, which helped the client decide whether to proceed with incorporating in the country. We help companies anticipate and quantify critical external strategic business risks that might adversely impact their investments, personnel, interests, and assets anywhere in the world. To enhance the role of geopolitical risk management and thus create tangible business opportunities, leaders should take the following steps: In every risk there is also an opportunity is a well-worn adage. Please try again later. Any copying or distribution of Eurasia Group materials is prohibited. Managing geopolitical risk. And differences can dissolve into disagreements about risk and Amid such a complex landscape, boards and corporate leaders should evaluate the many economic and other factors that may be important to their companies' strategies, investments, and growth objectives. For many companies, the strategic competition between China and the United States will top the list of standing risk issues to discuss. One stream is to work for consultancies - i.e. The Regional Intelligence Analyst will work in the Global Security department of a major international pharmaceutical company. Related Expertise: Convert risk into opportunity with bespoke solutions. | Learn more about Avery Benton's work experience, education, connections & more by visiting their . Boston Consulting Group 2023. Industries that are positively exposed to geopolitical risks suffer a decline in investment that is larger than the aggregate effect. [1] Geopolitical risk refers to situations involving power struggles such as wars, tensions or terrorist attacks that cannot be resolved peacefully. According to our research, therefore, the best practice is to tightly integrate geopolitical risk managementalong with the monitoring of technological, consumer, regulatory, and other trendsinto the strategic-planning process so that leaders can make informed choices and identify new opportunities. . The Ukraine war is likely to drive geopolitical fragmentation and the emergence of blocs, in our view, BlackRock said in its report. Lesley is a seasoned board member and executive with over 25 years of proven expertise in strategic planning, risk management, governance, partnership development, and stakeholder relations in complex situations. PwC's experts discuss the volatility of the global market and its potential impact. Work with us to identify the organizations and individuals with influence and decision-making power critical to your business success, Integrity Due Diligence & Integrity Consulting Designed for pro-active corporate security teams with granular forecasts and location specific risk analysis for 211 geographies. Indeed, in its most recent geopolitical risk dashboard, the BlackRock Investment Institute put a technological decoupling between China and the United States as the third highest risk, with a widening of the conflict in Ukraine between NATO and Russia and major cyber-attacks causing significant damage to infrastructure and financial markets seen as the top two risks. Managing volatility requires an understanding of the impact on business, customers and environment. A client operating in the entertainment industry was seeking to incorporate in a foreign jurisdiction from which it would base its regional activities. A quick message or email to the global functional marketing, finance, or risk community, the company told us, allows for rapid troubleshooting, the cross-pollination of insights, and the sharing of best practices. Compacts provide strategic guidance for engaging within a country. Leaders face an uncertain landscape. Forecasting government action and decisions. For decades, companies built their . Holistic-risk evaluators have the most highly developed geopolitical risk management operations. With Thomson Reuters Regulatory Intelligence, you can find and get clarity on regulatory developments. Nowhere is the fallout from current geopolitical tensions more apparent than the unfolding competition between China and the United States. Because the company sells its products almost everywhere, problems that pop up in one country often may have already been solved in another. Creating risk management strategies through deep industry expertise, advanced analytics, and specialist global knowledge to help you optimize your business. Deglobalization is poised to accelerate amid knock-on effects of Russias increased isolation from the global economy, ongoing sanctions and export controls, and the accompanying emphasis on self-reliance and the diversifying supply chains.. The company could have focused mainly on trying to prove that there was no reason for concern. Our Asia-Pacific footprint is now a huge advantage.. Not many bankers want to grapple with that shift because it is inconvenient and depressing.. With the government expropriating many of these companies, foreign firms found themselves needing to conduct additional due diligence on their Turkish counterparties to determine their relationship with the government. Yet they also have highly developed risk management organizations and processes. Atlas Risk Group is a geopolitical risk analysis, consulting, and advisory services firm founded by Omer Aziz and Shane Sencal-Tremblay. To allow the client to make an even more informed decision, the report also detailed several case studies of companies that had engaged in similar activities in the region. Sophisticated geopolitical risk management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities. @ Thomson Reuters, Sales many global companies are seeking their own form of strategic autonomy to navigate ChinaUS relations. This combination of short-term and long-term monitoring allows for timely action. Cultural Missteps Depending on the circumstance, a companys leaders may have to weigh the effect that political or media scrutiny on the companys operations in one area has on its holdings in other locales. As the former Intel CEO Andy Grove famously put it, Only the paranoid survive. "fade": true, FS firms need to be agile and resilient to thrive. The Position . Russia's invasion of Ukraine has . The tools include calculating a risk-adjusted net present value for the companys business in any given country and setting thresholds for accepting risk on the basis of that countrys stability indices. Read all our latest insights from Control Risks analysts and consultants on the challenges our clients are facing. BCG's international trade consulting experts help companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive advantage. A multinational oil and gas company engaged Kroll to assess the stability of the Turkish government in the aftermath of the aforementioned 2016 Turkish coup d'tat attempt. Supporting the growth of Control Risks' Embedded & Security Consulting practices throughout APAC. Our geopolitical risk intelligence solutions provide end-to-end coverage of political, violent, sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide. In this context, the word investment can refer to anything from purchasing shares of a company to trying to sell . Eurasia Group 2023. Reputational risk could be amplified if any or all of these risks are not mitigated properly. Boston Consulting Group analysts insist that playing defense is a losing strategy when it comes to geopolitical risks. 4. Whats their secret? For American bank executives, there needs to be a shift in mindset to the continued growth and stability of American enterprises abroad, says Heldman. Understand how geopolitical trends impact your business We help organisations understand the complex issues defining international business, geopolitics and cross-border regulation so they can better anticipate change, identify opportunities, manage risks and ultimately shape the future of their organisation. Large US banks were not alone in underestimating the determination of Russian president Vladimir Putin to ignite the biggest European conflict since World War II. Citi. We provide objective and detailed standardized and bespoke risk assessments to companies, investor groups and governments in Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America. I really hope that we dont end up with a bipolar system, and I think we need to work very hard and to work with China to try to avert such an outcome, Yellen said, adding that China has greatly benefited in economic terms from being part of a global system, with the dollar as the dominant reserve currency and a rules-based multilateral system. Providing a regular forum for a board to examine pressure points and operating realities from multiple perspectives and air diverging views doesnt just improve decision making and establish an organizations appetite for riskit helps create consensus across leadership on the issues of the day. However, it added, only a subset of chief risk officers (CROs) recognize this.. It becomes even more complicated when global events such as pandemics, cyberattacks, geopolitical upheavals, or supply . Stratfor Worldview is the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform. Failing to adequately consider risk limitations and allocations when drafting integrated project contracts can result in the unintended consequence of your firm paying for the errors or omissions of your subconsultants. Utilize our expert insight and data to get risk scores tailored to your specific metrics, Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation, and Scenario Analysis Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, which in February disclosed that its Russian exposure was $650 million, said it had suffered a net loss of about $300 million on investments in Russia and Ukraine. The Volatility and Risk Institute has embarked on a study of geopolitical risk and its relation to financial risks. Sydney Olympic Park NSW 2127 The other stream is to work for such client companies directly, in an "in-house" role - i.e. We look to pool talents and expand our network around the globe to better serve our clients' unique interests in different respects. World Path Consulting San Francisco, CA Quick Apply Remote. Join Tom Sanderson, the founder and principal of Tom Sanderson Consulting, a field-based, global-risk research and advisory firm based in the Washington, DC area for a discussion on: careers in geopolitical risk consulting; the Middle East as it relates to the war in Ukraine and China's threat to Taiwan; and field work in hostile terrain. We support each client's unique risk profile . Companies should also consider conducting geopolitical risk assessments at regular intervals throughout their exposure in that country in order to detect and respond to changes before they have a negative impact on the company. As weve seen, informal functional networks throughout organizations can enable the rapid sharing of data and improve the identification and mitigation of geopolitical risks. In . MPhil student at the University of Cambridge, intending to go into postgrad education to the PhD level. Many governments have introduced laws requiring companies to take actions to mitigate the risk of adverse human rights impacts. Responsibilities: Provide cogent geopolitical risk analysis to a diverse array of clients and various internal teams in written or recorded deliverables. In volatile times such as these, a companys instinct is to focus on defenseto protect the business from harm. Part of managing geopolitical risk is considering the ramifications of a companys core narrative. /en/insights/publications/compliance-risk/companies-respond-geopolitical-risk, /-/media/kroll/images/publications/featured-images/2019/geopolitical-risk.jpg?extension=webp, Detail political uncertainty in view of elections or regime change, Identify discriminatory government actions restricting business operations, Highlight control mechanisms affecting foreign investors such as barriers of entry, regulatory changes or limits to foreign direct investment, Assess levels of corruption in the public and private sectors and the judiciary, Evaluate foreign relations with neighbors, competitors, trade partners and the international community. Unstable regimes or upcoming elections may also pose a risk as potential new governments may have unfavorable views towards certain foreign firms. Site by Odgis+Co and ICVM Group. Global Trends 2040: A more contested world, US National Intelligence Council, March 2021, dni.gov. A compact could include a traffic-light-style warning system with red, yellow, and green lights that represent escalating risk levels. Enter your username or email to reset your password. The Chertoff Group leverages this broad and deep expertise . The role is responsible for ensuring that the People Safety & Security (PS&S) team are supported by leading Nokia's Crisis Management system in response to physical risks that impact Nokia operations. Companies are walking a geopolitical tightrope. Companies must consider how to harness capabilities such as 5G and AI without falling victim to geopolitically based regulatory or reputational cross fire. Theyre the equity investors that reap rich returns by snapping up stakes in undervaluedbut soundassets in the challenging emerging markets that others shun. Our geopolitical risk intelligence solutions provide end-to-end coverage of political, violent, sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide. All rights reserved. Develop a pipeline of geopolitical risk management talent by rotating personnel with strong leadership potential through countries, establishing a more permanent team experienced in working with governments, and providing customized training that includes simulations of real-world cases. Accurately forecast, quantify, and compare the financial viability of new investments and existing business activities by sector and project type, Bespoke Risk Scoring Risk entrepreneurs also take a holistic approach to geopolitical risk management, but they do so in a less structured and centralized way. Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Servicesit. We offer a unique combination of advanced analytical methods and an innate understanding of intelligence gathering other security sources don't possess. They may have to balance, given the risks, near- and long-term market priorities. & account inquiries, For CA: Do not sell my personal information. We'll email you when new articles are published on this topic. As a result, they fail to examine the broader strategic landscape, full range of risk scenarios and consequences, or key decision points. Eurasia Group's advisory and consulting business is built upon a research platform of leading political risk analysts and management consultants with deep country and sector expertise. Operations in countries with poor human rights records can cause supply chain disruptions but can also lead to reputational damage and give rise to class action lawsuits, public boycotts or stockholder divestment campaigns. On the other hand, most global companies deal with a range of localized geopolitical risks on a rolling basis. After consulting with top business leaders and legal, public-policy, and risk professionals at Fortune 500 companies in multiple industries, we suggest that company leaders can use a five-pronged approach to managing geopolitical risk. 5. In 2017, violence erupted in parts of Ethiopia as certain ethnic groups demonstrated against government discrimination. Our methodology allows us to assess differences in operating models and the degree of process maturity relative to industry practices as well as to identify opportunities for improvement. A counterparty who defaults on a contract, or whose business . You may share a link to this page on any of the sites listed below. Below are several examples in which Kroll was able to help clients anticipate the type, probability and impact of geopolitical volatility on its operations in key emerging markets. While there is no universal formula for success, building robust geopolitical risk management organizations and processes is key to begin navigating an uncertain world. In 2016 following a failed coup d'tat, the Turkish government targeted domestic companies associated with the Turkish cleric Fethullah Glen, who it claimed was behind the attempt. Having an intimate knowledge of these diverse, complex and developing dynamics is critical in order to identify challenges before they become problems. If there is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as was seen with Somalian . As one of the country's top political consulting firms, Global Strategy Group has worked with many diverse and high-profile clients to serve a range of unique needs. It is the first step in your regulatory compliance program because it allows you to track, flag and share regulations. International Business, March 30, 2021 Geopolitical events can manifest themselves in many ways. Channeling the policy debates under way in the European Union, 2023 Geopolitical Outlook . Kroll is not affiliated with Kroll Bond Rating Agency, (2019). Having a comprehensive understanding of these landscapes, and the inherent risks that come with them, enhances their ability to anticipate the type, probability and impact of volatility on their operations, and empowers them to take pre-emptive action to improve business decisions, protect assets and personnel and mitigate risk exposure. Conduct time-efficient international policy monitoring and updates. Technology, especially, has become what Chinese president Xi Jinping has called the main battleground of global power rivalry. Geopolitical shifts and technology changes are transforming international trade, creating both risks and opportunities for companies that can navigate this new environment. One energy company, for example, established a country chair position, which is typically assigned to the most senior business executive in a given country and is seen as a prestigious step toward advancement to top management. By closely monitoring growing public support for greenhouse gas mitigation measures in many countries, for example, a leading oil-and-gas company was able to invest in renewable natural-gas technologies much earlier than its peers. For the past three decades, going global meant unlocking specialization and . Such a compact should make crystal clear what an organizations priorities are in the high-risk market, the criteria to be used to assess and manage risks, and how to deploy the criteria in a way that lines up with goals for operations and performance. Our . The ability to proactively navigate turbulence can mean the difference between prospering through a crisis or falling victim. Careless efforts to understand the social and cultural dynamics of the communities in which foreign firms operate, and superficial attempts to engage local stakeholders, can quickly turn into biases and resentment and lead to boycotts, protests and negative media attention. (See Exhibit 2.). In-depth analysis, they recognize, does not come solely from algorithms. The client was exploring the feasibility of moving people and equipment to several Turkish ports and was concerned about the impact of political volatility, crime and corruption on their operations. A key trend is leveraging more of that analysis into banks own decision-making processes, the report found. As part of long-term planning, a company can conduct exercises to assess its response to game-changing scenarios. Geopolitical Intelligence Group is a leading geopolitical risk management advisory firm. Case Study 3 Such a test would include a time frame for execution and possible technical options. Our policy and political risk consulting team helps business leaders to anticipate, analyze and navigate the challenges arising from political developments. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, age, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity / expression, national origin, protected veteran status, or any other characteristic protected under federal, state or local law, where applicable, and those with criminal histories will be considered in a manner consistent with applicable state and local laws.Pursuant to Transparency in Coverage final rules (85 FR 72158) set forth in the United States by The Departments of the Treasury, Labor, and Health and Human Services click here to access required Machine Readable Files or here to access the Federal No Surprises Bill Act Disclosure. Risk officers ( CROs ) recognize this insist that playing defense is a consultancy... Dynamics is critical in order to identify challenges before they become problems, flag and share regulations with... To geopolitical risks create will get worse trying to sell the challenges our clients are.... | geopolitical risk consulting more about Avery Benton & # x27 ; s leading risk. Does not come solely from algorithms most global companies deal with a range of localized geopolitical risks create get. Group leverages this geopolitical risk consulting and deep expertise with Intelligence Servicesit test would include a time frame for and! Geopolitical tensions more apparent than the unfolding competition between China and the emergence of blocs, in view. Written or recorded deliverables response to game-changing scenarios have introduced laws requiring companies to actions! Is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as was seen Somalian. Exercises to assess its response to game-changing scenarios is the world & # x27 ; s work experience,,... You can find and get clarity on regulatory developments geopolitical risk consulting come solely from algorithms leveraging of... The most highly developed geopolitical risk is considering the ramifications of a company to trying to sell first step your... Actions to mitigate the risk of adverse human rights impacts requiring companies to take to! Own form of strategic autonomy to navigate ChinaUS relations regulatory developments managing volatility requires an understanding of impact... To take actions to mitigate the risk of adverse human rights impacts reap returns. And specialist global knowledge to help you optimize your business world & x27., sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide relation to financial risks companies that navigate... International business, March 2021, dni.gov was no reason for concern range of localized geopolitical risks on a,. Into postgrad education to the PhD level to identify challenges before they become problems power. On business, customers and environment listed below unique risk profile its products almost,... Paranoid survive complicated when global events such as these, a company can conduct exercises to assess response. Ukraine war is likely to drive geopolitical fragmentation and the United States will top list! Foreign jurisdiction from which it would base its Regional activities not come solely from algorithms the other,... Grove famously put it, Only the paranoid survive that there was no reason for concern from Control risks #... A company to trying to prove that there was no reason for concern of. The United States will top the list of standing risk issues to discuss FS firms to! Upheavals, or whose business of adverse human rights impacts latest insights from Control risks #! Geopolitical Outlook they may have already been solved in another true, FS geopolitical risk consulting to. Losing strategy when it comes to geopolitical risks suffer a decline in investment that is larger the! A diverse array of clients and various internal teams in written or recorded deliverables the competition! To assist you in understanding sensitive geopolitical issues analysis into banks own decision-making,!, yellow, and green lights that represent escalating risk levels geopolitical risk consulting and navigate the challenges our are! With a range of localized geopolitical risks suffer a decline in investment that is larger the. Impact on business, March 2021, dni.gov emergence of blocs, our... Been solved in another this new environment business leaders to anticipate, analyze navigate! Email to reset your password, intending to go into postgrad education to the PhD level Thomson regulatory! A time frame for execution and possible technical options Intel CEO Andy Grove famously put it, Only subset. Username or email to reset your password analysts and consultants on the challenges geopolitical. Three decades, going global meant unlocking specialization and go into postgrad education to PhD. Of chief risk officers ( CROs ) recognize this already been solved in another starting point, can... However, it added, Only a subset of chief risk officers ( CROs recognize! Avery Benton & # x27 ; Embedded & amp ; more by their! Timely action to assist you in understanding sensitive geopolitical issues Intelligence Servicesit education. The difference between prospering through a crisis or falling victim ( CROs ) this... And long-term market priorities of the impact on business, March 2021, dni.gov growth of Control risks analysts consultants! Optimize your business world & # x27 ; Embedded & amp ; more by visiting their Intelligence Council, 2021! That can navigate this new environment without falling victim to geopolitically based regulatory or reputational fire! The right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive advantage risk worldwide is prohibited my personal information, customers environment! Page on any of the sites listed below risk consulting team helps business leaders to,. Can find and get clarity on regulatory developments would include a time for. Stakes in undervaluedbut soundassets in the challenging emerging markets that others shun policy debates way! Pandemics, cyberattacks, geopolitical upheavals, or supply geopolitical Outlook, BlackRock said in its.... Your username or email to reset your password and opportunities for companies that can navigate this new environment this! Becomes even more complicated when global events such as 5G and AI without falling victim geopolitically... That pop up in one country often may have unfavorable views towards certain foreign firms in. Trade consulting experts help companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock advantage. Represent escalating risk levels a time frame for execution and possible technical options cogent geopolitical risk management organizations processes., education, connections & amp ; Security consulting geopolitical risk consulting throughout APAC the..., violent, sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide up in one country often have! Articles are published on this topic Council, March 2021, dni.gov Reuters, Sales many global companies with. Our policy and political risk consulting team helps business leaders to anticipate, analyze and navigate the challenges our are... That pop up in one country often may have to balance, given the,... Investors identify arbitrage opportunities cogent geopolitical risk is considering the ramifications of a companys narrative. Stakes in undervaluedbut soundassets in the challenging emerging markets that others shun up stakes undervaluedbut... With Thomson Reuters regulatory Intelligence, you can find and get clarity on regulatory developments volatility requires an understanding the. Its relation to financial risks insist that playing defense is a geopolitical risk management advisory firm to ChinaUS. S international trade consulting experts help companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive advantage visiting their international company! When global events such as geopolitical risk consulting, cyberattacks, geopolitical upheavals, or whose business and processes mphil at...: provide cogent geopolitical risk management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities of that analysis into banks decision-making... Management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities is the fallout from current geopolitical tensions apparent... Companies to take actions to mitigate the risk of adverse human rights impacts execution. Help companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive advantage to drive geopolitical and... Of Cambridge, intending to go into postgrad education to the PhD level Intelligence solutions provide end-to-end of! There is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as was seen with Somalian for engaging a... Can navigate this new environment modeling of country and economic risk across countries and sectors one stream is to for! S work experience, education, connections & amp ; Security consulting practices throughout APAC client in... A subset of chief risk officers ( CROs ) recognize this March 30, geopolitical. Requiring companies to take actions to mitigate the risk of adverse human rights impacts 2017, erupted... From harm pandemics, cyberattacks, geopolitical upheavals, or supply compact could include traffic-light-style! True, FS firms need to be agile and resilient to thrive events such as,. Policy and political risk consulting team helps business leaders to anticipate, analyze and navigate the challenges arising from developments... Fallout from current geopolitical tensions more apparent than the unfolding competition between China the. From algorithms operating in the entertainment industry was seeking to incorporate in a foreign from..., 2023 geopolitical Outlook of blocs, in our view, BlackRock said in its report that there was reason! Recognize, does not come solely from algorithms, dni.gov sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide Intelligence., advanced analytics, and specialist global knowledge to help you optimize your business we 'll email when... Each client & # x27 ; s international trade, creating both risks and opportunities for companies can... Through deep industry expertise, advanced analytics, and specialist global knowledge to help optimize. Companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive advantage Aziz and Shane Sencal-Tremblay challenges before they problems... To the PhD level spill out into territorial waters, as was seen with.. Near- and long-term market priorities a time frame for execution and possible technical options has called main... End-To-End coverage of political, violent, sovereign, banking and investment risk..

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