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Q: How large a swing will Labor need to attain to worry Tony Abbotts leadership and possibly trigger a cabinet reshuffle? The popularity of former MP Randall also boosted the Liberal vote. A: Western Australians are probably more likely to be supportive of the FTA given we see our economy as so dependent on China. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Voters in the Avon School District will pick three school board members from among six candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot. A teacher who ran as an independent in the 2014 Senate re-election and the 2014 Vasse by-election. The filing deadline for this election was March 9, 2022. A4 map of the electoral division of Canning (2021) [PDF 1.54MB], Map of the Division of Canning (2021) [PDF 3.08MB]. Rudd then took it off the agenda and proposed a mining tax which did huge damage to his popularity in the polls. A software development manager for a Perth-based company. Election | Waldeck has also coached basketball and is past president of the Mandurah Basketball Association. Hastie served on was later Chair of the Joint Statutory Committee on Intelligence and Security. Labor should not be diverted from making this byelection a referendum on the Abbott government. Hastie was re-elected in 2016 and 2019. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Then the successful leadership challenge from Julia Gillard made the government look unstable. The unresolved question for me is: is there any limit on how tough Abbott can be on national security without it backfiring?. Some 22% of voters . Animal Justices lead candidate at the 2013 WA Senate election and 2014 WA Senate re-election. The third most important area currently is moving past the effects of the novel coronavirus pandemic. She has worked in roles from check-out operator to hospitality positions and lost her administration job because she refused to have the COVID-19 vaccine mandated in her workplace. [6], Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Yoh An Yes. Canning's drift upwards has been driven partly by boundary changes, the seat being based more in Perth's south-east suburbs when held by Labor in the 1980s and 1990s. But that also gives the leaders an array of things that they can use to spin the results. Assessment Canning is a safe Liberal seat. No Mandatory Vaccine candidate for Darling Range at the 2021 WA election. James Waldeck lives in Mandurah and has provided for his family of six by working in various management and supervisor roles in a multitude of industries. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. I keep going back to Armadale versus Mandurah. . Randall tragic death would have aided the Liberals in the bye-election. Clarke grew up in the great southern before moving to the central wheatbelt where his family worked in agriculture. I absolutely support marriage equality. Pursuit of Global Equality, Respect, Environmental Stability, Honesty thru Reflective, Ethical Contemplation and Consultation If elected he said he would guarantee integrity, authenticity and determination. But Rudd blew it. Election results in Canning at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party and Labor. Likely LNP retain but Canning could be a smoky if state election allegiances carry over more to the federal election than most expect. Andrew Hastie is under no threat whatsoever. For the past 25 years, Amanda Hunt has worked her way up in the community services sector finding herself in chief executive roles for the most part. Q: Two-and-a-half weeks out, what are you seeing in the polling data? Abbott is on record saying the government doesnt fund rail projects. It also integrates with the governments broader image, because issues where the public wants toughness are the ones where the government still has the advantage. ( Map) Background First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. In 2007, WorkChoices didnt resonate in WA because we were in a sellers market for labour due to the boom. He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. I am elected to represent you and serve as your voice, she said. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. The Liberal two-party votes ranged from 46.3% at the Riverside Primary School in the Mandurah suburbs of Greenfields, to 75.2% at rural Coolup Community Hall in the far south of the electorate. It didnt matter to the former Member for Canning, Don Randall, if the issues were local, state or federal, he worked for the best outcome and thats what I intend to do. In mid-2015 Randall died suddenly, producing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Prime Ministership. By Nathan Hondros. New Liberal MP Don Randall had previously represented Swan 1996-98. Since 1980 it has been located in the southern suburbs of the two largest cities in Western Australia, Perth and Mandurah. Following the death of sitting Liberal Party member Don Randall, a byelection will be held on September 19 for the federal seat of Canning. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. Hastie will be pm by 2028 is quite laughable it wont happen. Seeing the mandates impacting workers and small businesses he decided to join the Liberal Democrats as he said the party advocated for greater freedoms. Alfred Canning was a surveyor who surveyed routes for the rabbit-proof fence from Starvation Harbour to Cape Keraudren and stockroutes to bring cattle from the Kimberley district to feed those working the Western Australian goldfields. A: I think if the Liberals can limit the swing to below 8%, they can spin that. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, Current electoral divisions in Western Australia (WA). Hastie will be PM by 2028 . The city of Los Angeles, California, held general elections for mayor, city attorney, city controller, and city council on November 8, 2022. WA is largely a mystery to me. Making sure growth is aligned with infrastructure, while maintaining fiscal responsibility. But interestingly he also mentioned the seat of Canning. Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie has already survived a media storm surrounding his time served in Afghanistan. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. Who would you vote for? [1] | Paul Pahoresky, Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot concedes defeat, Southern California home sales fall to all-time low, Zero-calorie sweetener linked to heart attack and stroke, study finds, As many as 700,000 Illinois residents could lose Medicaid health coverage this year, Balloon ban made official in Laguna Beach, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information. Katrina Love, Connor Whittle and Angela Smith. He said he was tired of living under a bureaucratic dictatorship and in speaking with family, friends and people in the community he believed many Australians felt the same. That said, I wouldnt be surprised if a great part of the electorate could be mollified by the sort of big-ticket road funding that the Abbott government will be promising. He also played state-level basketball in WA as well as AFL. Mr Waldeck said the United Australia Party had very clear policies and principles focused on providing a strong economy, affordable cost of living and providing freedom for Australians by returning their democratic rights. The Liberals are at such a high watermark after the last federal election, and theyve also been in power at the state level for a long time. His decision to enter politics was largely based on his perception that politicians had abandoned their working-class citizens. Canning received a degree from the University of Oregon School of Law. in Western Australia".. He said his approach takes a long-term view for the district to prepare students for all facets of post-high school life, including college, trades, military service or entering the workforce. A: Were seeing a lot of headlines about polls showing it at 50-50, but if you look at them carefully, theyre more favourable for the Liberals than that. If no candidate meets that threshold, the top two vote-getters will advance to a November 8 general election. Canning - Federal Electorate, Candidates, Results - ABC News Flood warning ABC Emergency 1 / 2 Canning - Federal Election 2022 Share 87.4 % turnout, final figures LIB retain Andrew Hastie elected 8.0% swing to ALP Preference count Liberal Party Andrew Hastie MP 53.6% 50,513 Labor Party Amanda Hunt 46.4% 43,751 50% Ms Hunt said she was passionate about creating job security, affordable housing, cheaper childcare, improving the quality of life of aged care residents, and more NDIS support. As of the 2022 election, it includes most of the Peel region, including the City of Mandurah and the Shires of Serpentine-Jarrahdale (including Byford and Mundijong), Murray (including Pinjarra, Yunderup and Dwellingup), and Waroona (including Waroona and Preston Beach). (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. If elected, Mr Bedford believes he can make Canning and Western Australia an even better place for everyone to live. Considering almost 50 per cent of households in Canning already have solar for power and hot water, its time the Government acknowledges the importance of this industry. Compare their meagre vanity, arrogance, & propagandising, to the squalid excesses of the PM, Dan Andrews, or KK. I truly see Hastie as Australias JFK. Canning was held for Labor by George Gear from 1984 until 1996 when it fell to Liberal Ms Ricky Johnston at her fifth attempt to win the seat. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Solar energy is directly helping to address rising energy costs and housing affordability. U.S. municipal elections, 2022. Election | Having worked for mineral exploration companies, and following postgraduate studies, Gardiner moved to the eastern states and completed a Master of Natural Resources. Q: The one issue that seems to be resonating with the electorate is crime, which is fundamentally a state issue. Matt Canning, Laura Chonko, Alissa Gault, Greg Pinter, Tara Tatman and John P. Weigman are contending for four-year terms on the board. He listed (Swan, Pearce, and Hasluck). The loss of Boddington reduces the area of the electorate by around a third but the number of voters involved is small and the Liberal margin remains unchanged on 11.6%. I agree he will hold with his margin cut in half. A: Well, yes, that sort of sentiment probably does resonate in a place like Armadale. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. Peter van Onselen was on the show Insiders and mentioned four seats in WA that on internal polling are gone for the Liberals on current polling. Semi-retired. Redistribution Canning lost the Boddington council area to OConnor and lost Orange Grove to Burt. But that's just a small part of . Candidate profile: Tara Tatman for Avon School Board, November 2021 Moffat is a lawyer and has other experience from working part time as a carbon rights officer and disability advocate during her university studies as a mature aged law student. As an incumbent, I have been involved in the districts decision-making over the past 12 years including the hiring of former Superintendent Mike Laub and current Superintendent Ben Hodge, Weigman said. cheers wd. I was born and raised in Canning, I know the people and the issues. Moffat is a civil litigation lawyer, mother and environmental activist. She has also been a volunteer with the Wilderness Society, Men of the Trees and the Environmental Defenders Office (WA). On the coast the electorate also includes Mandurah, Dawesville and most of the Mandurah City Council area. He entered the workforce at age 15, back initially working for the curator of the biggest car museums in the state, then finding work in the horticultural industry. The civil litigation lawyer and environmental activist says she is driven by the chance to give future generations the same opportunities in life in education and in the environment. Candidate profile: Alissa Gault for Avon School Board, November 2021 Though the Turnbull Government was just four days old, their candidate Andrew Hastie retained the seat for the Liberals, despite having to rely on preferences after a substantial, though dampened, primary (4.15%) and two-party (6.55%) swing away from the Liberals solidly less than the double-digit swings polls had predicted under an Abbott Government however, some double-digit swings did eventuate among the northern suburban booths. Id be really interested to know that, but I dont. It should be a bell-weather seat It is interesting that the margin is 11.6% based on the redistribution so should be an impossible, but I note in the last election there were a number of Andrew Hastie signs scattered throughout the region so maybe it is a seat with an over inflated margin. Ive dedicated my career to making life better for Western Australian families, and want to continue that work in the Federal Parliament, she said. Click here to learn more about the city's mayoral election. The late Don Randall was a popular Mp but its not the only reason. It was the only Western Australian seat to record a swing to Labor at the election. The Division of Canning is a massive 4245sqkm and consists of Mandurah City Council, Murray Shire Council, Serpentine-Jarrahdale Shire Council, Waroona Shire Council, part of the Armadale City Council, part of the Gosnells City Council, and part of the Kalamunda City Council. We should strive to graduate upstanding citizens who are critical thinkers and cherish our American values of liberty, equality and justice for all. However, ReachTEL has 80% of preferences from minor parties flowing to Labor, which is not believable. The seat of Canning was named after WA's first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron and Alfred Canning who surveyed routes for the rabbit-proof fence from Starvation Harbour to Cape Keraudren and stock routes to bring cattle from the Kimberley to feed workers in the Goldfields. Federal election 2022 candidates for the Canning electorate. Picture: File image. Armadale, though, is a different story, because its fairly blue-collar and has a lot of first-home buyers. Advertisement Ad Local News Oh gee, she's Sandra Dee: Peel actress steps into iconic Grease role A: The Perth to Mandurah rail line was a great public policy success that everybody associates with the last state Labor government. She has worked as a civil litigation lawyer in Mandurah for over a decade. Results 1983-2016, FRASER ANNING'S CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL PARTY. [4], In 2016, the more urbanised areas of the City of Armadale west of the Albany Highway and South Western Highway, together with the suburbs of Mount Nasura and Kelmscott, were redistributed to the new Division of Burt. Q: How important is national security as an issue in the byelection? . Randall died in early 2015, and the ensuing by-election was won by Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie. Office details Connect Electorate details Electorate Office (Principal Office) Unit 2 61 Sutton Street Mandurah, WA, 6210 Postal address PO Box 968 Mandurah, WA, 6210 Telephone: (08) 9534 8044 Parliament Office PO Box 6022 House of Representatives Parliament House Canberra ACT 2600 Telephone: (02) 6277 4223 Speeches First speech Recent speech So, using these issues becomes counter-productive, and it has too narrow a front to attack on. To worry Tony Abbotts leadership and possibly trigger a cabinet reshuffle election, When local council parties break state! 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